Opinion polls

Not one for going into opinion polls that much. As they are quite often wrong (1992) and often misleading. They also have the affect of dog whistling for politicians but the latest one in the guardian makes for interesting reading. David Cameron's been given a 13 point lead over Labour when asked how they would vote if Gordon Brown were Prime Minister. This is a further two point lead over Tony Blair as leader.

This will raise the question of does Gordon become leader as many back benchers will start to feel twitchy especially those in marginal constituencies. If they start to see an opinion poll curve that gives the conservatives a greater lead with Gordon Brown as leader will they still support him?

The poll puts the Conservatives on 42%, Labour on 29% and the Lib Dems on 17%.

oh happy Birthday Gordon